Market comparison

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.6% Bid 1.2% · Ask 14.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Huizenga, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Huizenga, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Huizenga, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 6.5% · Ask 18.0% Huizenga, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Huizenga, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Huizenga, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Huizenga, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9% Huizenga, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Huizenga, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5% Huizenga, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Huizenga, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Huizenga, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
McCann, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% McCann, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
McCann, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% McCann, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
McCann, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% McCann, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
McCann, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 17.0% McCann, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.5% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.7% Bid 2.9% · Ask 10.4% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.0% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Huizenga, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Huizenga, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Huizenga, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.5% · Ask 18.0%

Huizenga, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Huizenga, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0%

Huizenga, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Huizenga, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9%

Huizenga, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Huizenga, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5%

Huizenga, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Huizenga, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Huizenga, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

McCann, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

McCann, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

McCann, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0%

McCann, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

McCann, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

McCann, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

McCann, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 17.0%

McCann, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.5%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 10.4%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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