Market comparison

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1 venue · 7 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

7 outcomes · $105K reported volume

Observed 535h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
4.0-4.2m sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.0-4.2m sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.2-4.4m sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.2-4.4m sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.4-4.6m sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.4-4.6m sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.6-4.8m sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.6-4.8m sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.8-5m sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.8-5m sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—
4m sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old <4m sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—
5m+ sq km Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 5m+ sq km Open Polymarket ↗	—

4.0-4.2m sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.0-4.2m sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

4.2-4.4m sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.2-4.4m sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

4.4-4.6m sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.4-4.6m sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

4.6-4.8m sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.6-4.8m sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8-5m sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.8-5m sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

4m sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

<4m sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

5m+ sq km

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

5m+ sq km

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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