The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

15 outcomes · $144K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 9.6%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.7%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Flanagan, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

Flanagan, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0%

Flanagan, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0%

Flanagan, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0%

Flanagan, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0%

Flanagan, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0%

Flanagan, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0%

Flanagan, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0%

Flanagan, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

Flanagan, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

Flanagan, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Flanagan, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 6.5% · Ask 8.0%

Flanagan, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.2%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.0%

Flanagan, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.2%

Flanagan, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flanagan, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Flanagan, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.