Market comparison

Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.1% Bid 6.6% · Ask 13.6% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.3% Bid 13.6% · Ask 17.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.9% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stauber, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0% Stauber, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0% Stauber, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 58.0% Stauber, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Stauber, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Stauber, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.1% Bid 8.1% · Ask 20.0% Stauber, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Stauber, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stauber, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9% Stauber, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Swanson, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.7% · Ask 16.0% Swanson, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 13.6%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.3%

Bid 13.6% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.9%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stauber, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0%

Stauber, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0%

Stauber, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 58.0%

Stauber, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Stauber, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Stauber, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.1%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 20.0%

Stauber, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0%

Stauber, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stauber, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9%

Stauber, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Swanson, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 16.0%

Swanson, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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