Market comparison

Missouri's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $64K reported volume

Observed 31s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 31s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.8% Bid 93.8% · Ask 95.8% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrats, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.2% Bid 94.0% · Ask 97.2% Democrats, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.7% Bid 93.9% · Ask 97.2% Democrats, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 97.1% Democrats, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.9% Democrats, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Democrats, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Democrats, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Democrats, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Democrats, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0% Democrats, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.9% · Ask 3.1% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republicans, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6% Republicans, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6% Republicans, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6% Republicans, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6% Republicans, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Republicans, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Republicans, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

94.8%

Bid 93.8% · Ask 95.8%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrats, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.2%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 97.2%

Democrats, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.7%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 97.2%

Democrats, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 97.1%

Democrats, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.9%

Democrats, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Democrats, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Democrats, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Democrats, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrats, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.5%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0%

Democrats, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 3.1%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6%

Republicans, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6%

Republicans, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6%

Republicans, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.6%

Republicans, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republicans, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republicans, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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