Market comparison

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

2 venues · 71 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

53 outcomes · $4.5M reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 8, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

51 outcomes · $1.4M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bryce Harper Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bryce Harper Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Bryce Harper Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Corbin Carroll Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Corbin Carroll Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Corbin Carroll Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Elly De La Cruz Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Elly De La Cruz Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Elly De La Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Fernando Tatis Jr. Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Fernando Tatis Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Fernando Tatis Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Francisco Lindor Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Francisco Lindor Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Francisco Lindor Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
James Wood Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% James Wood Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% James Wood Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Jordan Walker Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jordan Walker Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Jordan Walker Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Juan Soto Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Juan Soto Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Juan Soto Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Kyle Schwarber Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kyle Schwarber Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kyle Schwarber Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Kyle Tucker Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kyle Tucker Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kyle Tucker Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Matt Olson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Matt Olson Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Matt Olson Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Mookie Betts Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mookie Betts Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Mookie Betts Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Pete Crow-Armstrong Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask — Pete Crow-Armstrong Open Kalshi ↗	98.5% Bid 98.0% · Ask 98.9% Pete Crow-Armstrong Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Ronald Acuña Jr. Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ronald Acuña Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Ronald Acuña Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Shohei Ohtani Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Shohei Ohtani Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.4% Shohei Ohtani Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Alex Bregman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Alex Bregman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andy Pages Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Andy Pages Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bo Bichette Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bo Bichette Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Brice Turang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Brice Turang Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Caleb Durbin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Caleb Durbin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Christian Yelich Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Christian Yelich Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dansby Swanson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dansby Swanson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Drake Baldwin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Drake Baldwin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Freddie Freeman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Freddie Freeman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Geraldo Perdomo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Geraldo Perdomo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hunter Goodman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Hunter Goodman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ian Happ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ian Happ Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson Chourio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jackson Chourio Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson Merrill Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jackson Merrill Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jacob Misiorowski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Jacob Misiorowski Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ketel Marte Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ketel Marte Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Los Angeles D (WSMI) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% :: Los Angeles D (WSMI) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Luis Robert Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Luis Robert Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Manny Machado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Manny Machado Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marcus Semien Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Marcus Semien Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Masyn Winn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Masyn Winn Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Matt Chapman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Matt Chapman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Max Muncy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Max Muncy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Busch Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Michael Busch Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Harris II Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Michael Harris II Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mickey Moniak Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mickey Moniak Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nick Castellanos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Nick Castellanos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nico Hoerner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Nico Hoerner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nolan Arenado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Nolan Arenado Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Oneil Cruz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Oneil Cruz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Otto Lopez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Otto Lopez Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ozzie Albies Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ozzie Albies Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paul Skenes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Paul Skenes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Player AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rafael Devers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Rafael Devers Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sal Frelick Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Sal Frelick Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Teoscar Hernández Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Teoscar Hernández Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tie/Co-Winners Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie/Co-Winners Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Trea Turner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Trea Turner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Willy Adames Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Willy Adames Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Xander Bogaerts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Xander Bogaerts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yoshinobu Yamamoto Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Bryce Harper

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bryce Harper

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Kalshi

Polymarket

Known rule differences between venues

Bryce Harper

Kalshi

Polymarket

Corbin Carroll

Kalshi

Polymarket

Elly De La Cruz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Kalshi

Polymarket

Francisco Lindor

Kalshi

Polymarket

James Wood

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jordan Walker

Kalshi

Polymarket

Juan Soto

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kyle Schwarber

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kyle Tucker

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matt Olson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mookie Betts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ronald Acuña Jr.

Kalshi

Polymarket

Shohei Ohtani

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alex Bregman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andy Pages

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bo Bichette

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brice Turang

Kalshi

Polymarket

Caleb Durbin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Christian Yelich

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dansby Swanson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Drake Baldwin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Freddie Freeman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Geraldo Perdomo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hunter Goodman