Market comparison

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

2 venues · 40 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

59 outcomes · $980K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 22, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

17 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 15, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Brian White Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% Brian White Open Polymarket ↗	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Brian White Open Kalshi ↗	46.6 pp
Denis Bouanga Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Denis Bouanga Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 95.0% Denis Bouanga Open Kalshi ↗	9.8 pp
Evander Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Evander Open Polymarket ↗	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Evander Open Kalshi ↗	48.4 pp
Hugo Cuypers Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid — · Ask 0.8% Hugo Cuypers Open Polymarket ↗	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Hugo Cuypers Open Kalshi ↗	48.1 pp
Lionel Messi Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	97.1% Bid 96.2% · Ask 98.0% Lionel Messi Open Polymarket ↗	94.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗	3.1 pp
Milan Iloski Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid — · Ask 0.8% Milan Iloski Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Milan Iloski Open Kalshi ↗	47.6 pp
Petar Musa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.6% Petar Musa Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Petar Musa Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Sam Surridge Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Sam Surridge Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Sam Surridge Open Kalshi ↗	47.5 pp
Tai Baribo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tai Baribo Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Tai Baribo Open Kalshi ↗	47.9 pp
Albert Rusnák Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Albert Rusnák Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Alonso Martínez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Alonso Martínez Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Anders Dreyer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Anders Dreyer Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Antoine Griezmann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Antoine Griezmann Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cheikh Sabaly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Cheikh Sabaly Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Danny Musovski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Danny Musovski Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dejan Joveljić Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Dejan Joveljić Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Diego Rossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Diego Rossi Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Djordje Mihailovic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Djordje Mihailovic Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Germán Berterame Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Germán Berterame Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hany Mukhtar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Hany Mukhtar Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Idan Toklomati Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Idan Toklomati Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kevin Denkey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.1% Kévin Denkey Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kevin Denkey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Kevin Denkey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Louis Munteanu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Louis Munteanu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Luis Suarez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Luis Suarez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Pašalić Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Marco Pašalić Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marcus Ingvartsen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Marcus Ingvartsen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Martin Ojeda Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Martín Ojeda Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Martin Ojeda Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Martin Ojeda Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nicolas Fernandez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Nicolas Fernandez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Philip Zinckernagel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Philip Zinckernagel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Player AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Player AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Player AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Player AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Preston Judd Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Preston Judd Open Kalshi ↗	—
Prince-Osei Owusu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.3% Prince-Osei Owusu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Robert Lewandowski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Robert Lewandowski Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tadeo Allende Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tadeo Allende Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Brian White

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

Brian White

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brian White

Polymarket

Kalshi

Denis Bouanga

Polymarket

Kalshi

Evander

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hugo Cuypers

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lionel Messi

Polymarket

Kalshi

Milan Iloski

Polymarket

Kalshi

Petar Musa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sam Surridge

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tai Baribo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Albert Rusnák

Polymarket

Kalshi

Alonso Martínez

Polymarket

Kalshi

Anders Dreyer

Polymarket

Kalshi

Antoine Griezmann

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cheikh Sabaly

Polymarket

Kalshi

Danny Musovski

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dejan Joveljić

Polymarket

Kalshi

Diego Rossi

Polymarket

Kalshi

Djordje Mihailovic

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Polymarket

Kalshi

Germán Berterame

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hany Mukhtar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Idan Toklomati

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kevin Denkey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kevin Denkey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Louis Munteanu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Luis Suarez

Polymarket