Market comparison

MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 2.3% · Ask 5.5% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.8% Bid 11.4% · Ask 12.1% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.1% Bid 19.0% · Ask 19.1% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.9% Bid 20.5% · Ask 25.2% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.3% Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.5% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 14.4% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
McCollum, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 93.5% McCollum, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0% McCollum, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0% McCollum, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0% McCollum, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0% McCollum, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% McCollum, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0% McCollum, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 23.0% McCollum, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0% McCollum, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 5.5%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.8%

Bid 11.4% · Ask 12.1%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.1%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 19.1%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.9%

Bid 20.5% · Ask 25.2%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.3%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.5%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 14.4%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

McCollum, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 93.5%

McCollum, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0%

McCollum, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0%

McCollum, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0%

McCollum, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0%

McCollum, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0%

McCollum, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

McCollum, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 23.0%

McCollum, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

McCollum, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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