Market comparison

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.5% Democrat 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.2% Democrat 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 10.3% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 10.1% · Ask 27.9% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.0% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 11.0% Democrat 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Omar, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 91.9% Omar, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 84.0% Omar, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0% Omar, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 60.0% Omar, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0% Omar, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 21.0% Omar, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 65+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Omar, 65+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 68+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2% Omar, 68+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 71+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Omar, 71+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.2%

Democrat 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 10.3%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 27.9%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 11.0%

Democrat 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Omar, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 91.9%

Omar, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 84.0%

Omar, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0%

Omar, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 60.0%

Omar, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0%

Omar, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 21.0%

Omar, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 65+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0%

Omar, 65+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 68+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2%

Omar, 68+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 71+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Omar, 71+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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