Market comparison

MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fischbach, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0% Fischbach, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0% Fischbach, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0% Fischbach, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0% Fischbach, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 49.0% Fischbach, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Fischbach, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Fischbach, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0% Fischbach, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fischbach, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 12.0% Fischbach, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.1% Republican 5-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 16.8% · Ask 18.2% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.3% Bid 22.1% · Ask 22.4% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.1% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.9% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.6% Bid 2.5% · Ask 20.7% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fischbach, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0%

Fischbach, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0%

Fischbach, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0%

Fischbach, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0%

Fischbach, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 49.0%

Fischbach, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Fischbach, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Fischbach, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0%

Fischbach, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fischbach, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 12.0%

Fischbach, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.1%

Republican 5-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.8% · Ask 18.2%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.3%

Bid 22.1% · Ask 22.4%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.1%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.9%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.6%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 20.7%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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