Market comparison

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.3% Democrat 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 1.4% · Ask 13.9% Democrat 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.8% Bid 11.2% · Ask 14.3% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 16.6% · Ask 19.4% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.9% Bid 16.2% · Ask 21.5% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.7% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.1% Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.2% Democrat 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrats, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.5% Democrats, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.5% Bid 90.5% · Ask 99.5% Democrats, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.1% Democrats, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.4% Democrats, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 61+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Democrats, 61+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 64+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Democrats, 64+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 67+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0% Democrats, 67+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 70+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Democrats, 70+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 73+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrats, 73+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.3%

Democrat 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 13.9%

Democrat 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.8%

Bid 11.2% · Ask 14.3%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 16.6% · Ask 19.4%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.9%

Bid 16.2% · Ask 21.5%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.7%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.1%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.2%

Democrat 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrats, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.5%

Democrats, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.5%

Bid 90.5% · Ask 99.5%

Democrats, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.1%

Democrats, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.4%

Democrats, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 61+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Democrats, 61+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 64+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Democrats, 64+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 67+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0%

Democrats, 67+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 70+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Democrats, 70+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 73+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrats, 73+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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