Market comparison

MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.3% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.6% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.7% Bid 16.6% · Ask 16.7% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.9% Bid 19.9% · Ask 22.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.3% Bid 20.2% · Ask 24.3% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 9.3% · Ask 12.5% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republicans, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.6% Bid 90.1% · Ask 92.6% Republicans, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0% Republicans, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 87.0% Republicans, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0% Republicans, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 64.0% Republicans, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0% Republicans, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0% Republicans, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0% Republicans, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 6.3% · Ask 17.0% Republicans, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.3%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.6%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.7%

Bid 16.6% · Ask 16.7%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.9%

Bid 19.9% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.3%

Bid 20.2% · Ask 24.3%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 12.5%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.6%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 92.6%

Republicans, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Republicans, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 87.0%

Republicans, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0%

Republicans, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 64.0%

Republicans, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0%

Republicans, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

Republicans, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republicans, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 17.0%

Republicans, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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