Market comparison

MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.5% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.5% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.5% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 57.9% · Ask 60.0% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republicans, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.9% Bid 93.9% · Ask 95.9% Republicans, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.8% Bid 93.5% · Ask 99.5% Republicans, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.6% Bid 92.6% · Ask 99.8% Republicans, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 90.7% · Ask 99.7% Republicans, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.7% Republicans, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.9% Republicans, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0% Republicans, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0% Republicans, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 58.0% Republicans, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.5% Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0% Republicans, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0% Republicans, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.8% Bid 8.5% · Ask 19.0% Republicans, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 1.2% · Ask 12.0% Republicans, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.8% Republicans, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.5%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.5%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.5%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.0%

Bid 57.9% · Ask 60.0%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 95.9%

Republicans, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.8%

Bid 93.5% · Ask 99.5%

Republicans, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.6%

Bid 92.6% · Ask 99.8%

Republicans, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 90.7% · Ask 99.7%

Republicans, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.7%

Republicans, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.9%

Republicans, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0%

Republicans, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0%

Republicans, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 58.0%

Republicans, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0%

Republicans, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republicans, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.8%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 19.0%

Republicans, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 12.0%

Republicans, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.8%

Republicans, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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