Market comparison

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.4% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.2% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.9% Bid 20.8% · Ask 25.1% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.3% Bid 12.2% · Ask 18.3% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.1% Bid 9.3% · Ask 14.9% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republicans, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.6% Bid 93.6% · Ask 97.9% Republicans, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 97.9% Republicans, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.3% Bid 90.9% · Ask 97.8% Republicans, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.3% Republicans, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.2% Republicans, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0% Republicans, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 61.0% Republicans, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0% Republicans, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Republicans, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 5.7% · Ask 16.0% Republicans, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9% Republicans, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5% Republicans, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.4%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.2%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.9%

Bid 20.8% · Ask 25.1%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.3%

Bid 12.2% · Ask 18.3%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.1%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 14.9%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.6%

Bid 93.6% · Ask 97.9%

Republicans, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 97.9%

Republicans, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.3%

Bid 90.9% · Ask 97.8%

Republicans, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.3%

Republicans, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.2%

Republicans, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0%

Republicans, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 61.0%

Republicans, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0%

Republicans, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republicans, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 16.0%

Republicans, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9%

Republicans, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5%

Republicans, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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