The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader

2 venues · 104 outcome rows · 96 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

100 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 8, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

110 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 26, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Aaron Gordon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Aaron Gordon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 13.5%

Aaron Gordon

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

AJ Dybantsa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

AJ Dybantsa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 13.5%

AJ Dybantsa

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Alex Sarr

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Alex Sarr

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Alex Sarr

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Alperen Sengun

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Alperen Sengun

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.1%

Alperen Sengun

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Amen Thompson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Amen Thompson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Amen Thompson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Andrew Nembhard

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Andrew Nembhard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Andrew Nembhard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Anthony Davis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Anthony Davis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Anthony Davis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Anthony Edwards

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Anthony Edwards

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Anthony Edwards

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Austin Reaves

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Austin Reaves

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Austin Reaves

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Bam Adebayo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Bam Adebayo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.2%

Bam Adebayo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Brandon Ingram

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Brandon Ingram

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Brandon Ingram

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Brandon Miller

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Brandon Miller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Brandon Miller

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Cade Cunningham

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Cade Cunningham

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9%

Cade Cunningham

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

Cameron Boozer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Cameron Boozer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Cameron Boozer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Chet Holmgren

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Chet Holmgren

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.8%

Chet Holmgren

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Cooper Flagg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Cooper Flagg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Cooper Flagg

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Damian Lillard

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Damian Lillard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7%

Damian Lillard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Darryn Peterson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Darryn Peterson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Darryn Peterson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

De'Aaron Fox

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

De'Aaron Fox

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

De'Aaron Fox

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Deandre Ayton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Deandre Ayton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Deandre Ayton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Dejounte Murray

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Dejounte Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Dejounte Murray

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

DeMar DeRozan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

DeMar DeRozan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

DeMar DeRozan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Deni Avdija

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Deni Avdija

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Deni Avdija

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Derrick White

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Derrick White

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Derrick White

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Desmond Bane

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Desmond Bane

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Desmond Bane

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Devin Booker

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Devin Booker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Devin Booker

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Domantas Sabonis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Domantas Sabonis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Domantas Sabonis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Donovan Clingan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Donovan Clingan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Donovan Clingan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Donovan Mitchell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Donovan Mitchell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Donovan Mitchell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Dyson Daniels

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Dyson Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Dyson Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Evan Mobley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Evan Mobley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Evan Mobley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Franz Wagner

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Franz Wagner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Franz Wagner

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 14.0%

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 32.6%

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.8 pp

Immanuel Quickley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Immanuel Quickley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Immanuel Quickley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Isaiah Hartenstein

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Isaiah Hartenstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.2%

Isaiah Hartenstein

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Ivica Zubac

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ivica Zubac

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.6%

Ivica Zubac

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Ja Morant

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ja Morant

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Ja Morant

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Jalen Brunson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jalen Brunson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2%

Jalen Brunson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Jalen Duren

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Jalen Duren

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.1%

Jalen Duren

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Jalen Johnson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Jalen Johnson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 15.6%

Jalen Johnson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Jalen Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jalen Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.8%

Jalen Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Jamal Murray

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jamal Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2%

Jamal Murray

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

James Harden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Josh Hart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.2%

Josh Hart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

James Harden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

James Harden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.8%

James Harden

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Jarrett Allen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jarrett Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Jarrett Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Jaylen Brown

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jaylen Brown

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Jaylen Brown

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Jayson Tatum

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jayson Tatum

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Jayson Tatum

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Jimmy Butler III

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Trey Murphy III

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.8%

Trey Murphy III

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Jimmy Butler III

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jimmy Butler III

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.8%

Jimmy Butler III

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Joel Embiid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Joel Embiid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Joel Embiid

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Josh Giddey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Josh Giddey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.6%

Josh Giddey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Jrue Holiday

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jrue Holiday

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.8%

Jrue Holiday

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Julius Randle

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Julius Randle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Julius Randle

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Karl-Anthony Towns

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Karl-Anthony Towns

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.1%

Karl-Anthony Towns

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Kawhi Leonard

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kawhi Leonard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.8%

Kawhi Leonard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Kevin Durant

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kevin Durant

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Kevin Durant

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Kevin Porter Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kevin Porter Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Kevin Porter Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Keyonte George

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Keyonte George

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Keyonte George

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Kon Knueppel

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kon Knueppel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Kon Knueppel

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Kyrie Irving

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kyrie Irving

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.9%

Kyrie Irving

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

LaMelo Ball

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

LaMelo Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

LaMelo Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Lauri Markkanen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Lauri Markkanen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Lauri Markkanen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

LeBron James

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

LeBron James

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

LeBron James

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Mark Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Mark Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Mark Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Michael Porter Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Michael Porter Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 13.5%

Michael Porter Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Miles Bridges

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Miles Bridges

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Miles Bridges

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Neemias Queta

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Neemias Queta

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Neemias Queta

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Nic Claxton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Nic Claxton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Nic Claxton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Norman Powell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Norman Powell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 9.9%

Norman Powell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

OG Anunoby

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

OG Anunoby

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9%

OG Anunoby

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

Onyeka Okongwu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Onyeka Okongwu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.9%

Onyeka Okongwu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Paolo Banchero

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Paolo Banchero

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Paolo Banchero

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Pascal Siakam

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Pascal Siakam

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.1%

Pascal Siakam

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Paul George

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Paul George

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Paul George

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Payton Pritchard

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Payton Pritchard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 14.5%

Payton Pritchard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.3 pp

RJ Barrett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

RJ Barrett

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.7%

RJ Barrett

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Rudy Gobert

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Rudy Gobert

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.0%

Rudy Gobert

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Ryan Rollins

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Ryan Rollins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.1%

Ryan Rollins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Saddiq Bey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Saddiq Bey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Saddiq Bey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Scottie Barnes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Scottie Barnes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.7%

Scottie Barnes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 19.8%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Stephen Curry

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Stephen Curry

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Stephen Curry

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Stephon Castle

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Stephon Castle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Stephon Castle

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Trae Young

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Trae Young

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7%

Trae Young

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Tre Jones

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tre Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Tre Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Ty Jerome

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ty Jerome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.8%

Ty Jerome

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Tyler Herro

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tyler Herro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9%

Tyler Herro

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

Tyrese Haliburton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tyrese Haliburton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.8%

Tyrese Haliburton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Tyrese Maxey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tyrese Maxey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Tyrese Maxey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Victor Wembanyama

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Victor Wembanyama

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

18.1%

Bid 8.8% · Ask 27.5%

Victor Wembanyama

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

VJ Edgecombe

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

VJ Edgecombe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

VJ Edgecombe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Walker Kessler

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Walker Kessler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Walker Kessler

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Zach Edey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Zach Edey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.8%

Zach Edey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Zion Williamson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Zion Williamson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 14.5%

Zion Williamson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Jusuf Nurkic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jusuf Nurkić

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jusuf Nurkic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Jusuf Nurkic

Open Polymarket ↗

Luka Doncic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 20.2%

Luka Doncic

Open Polymarket ↗

Luka Dončić

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Luka Dončić

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nikola Jokic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 44.0%

Nikola Jokić

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nikola Jokic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.2%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 34.3%

Nikola Jokic

Open Polymarket ↗

Nikola Vucevic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.4%

Nikola Vucevic

Open Polymarket ↗

Nikola Vučević

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Nikola Vučević

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.