The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

NBA: 2026-27 Steals Per Game Leader

2 venues · 83 outcome rows · 61 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

61 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 8, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

110 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 26, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Tie handling differs: Kalshi splits payout $1/N among tied players (Yes pays fractional, No pays the remainder). Polymarket breaks ties by total steals, and only if still tied resolves tied players to No and Other to Yes. A tie in SPG is rare but a tie-break by total steals would pay a different outcome.
  • Polymarket has an explicit 'Other' outcome for a leader not listed; Kalshi lists only named players with no Other shown in the provided text. Unlinked outcome.
  • Polymarket states a fallback: if the season is cancelled or postponed after April 25, 2027, or the leader is unclear, all listed players resolve No. Kalshi's text shown has no equivalent fallback; the end date is July 2027. Only matters in a disrupted season.
  • Polymarket explicitly states qualification as 58 games per NBA.com/stats; Kalshi says 'league minimum qualification thresholds apply' without a number. These are likely the same.
  • Polymarket handles shortened or truncated seasons using the NBA's qualification for the shortened season; Kalshi's text is silent on this. It is a rare scenario.
  • Kalshi's source is not named in the text, while Polymarket names NBA.com/stats, with credible reporting as an alternative.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Alex Caruso

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Alex Caruso

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0%

Alex Caruso

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Amen Thompson

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amen Thompson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 14.4%

Amen Thompson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.9 pp

Anthony Black

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Anthony Black

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0%

Anthony Black

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Anthony Edwards

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Anthony Edwards

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 13.4%

Anthony Edwards

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.4 pp

Ausar Thompson

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Ausar Thompson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 21.8%

Ausar Thompson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Bam Adebayo

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Bam Adebayo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0%

Bam Adebayo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Bilal Coulibaly

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Bilal Coulibaly

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.7%

Bilal Coulibaly

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Cade Cunningham

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Cade Cunningham

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.2%

Cade Cunningham

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.3 pp

Cason Wallace

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

Cason Wallace

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.8%

Cason Wallace

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Collin Gillespie

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Collin Gillespie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.4%

Collin Gillespie

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

De'Aaron Fox

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

De'Aaron Fox

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.5%

De'Aaron Fox

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

De'Anthony Melton

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

De'Anthony Melton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 13.5%

De'Anthony Melton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.8 pp

Dejounte Murray

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Dejounte Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Dejounte Murray

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Derrick White

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Derrick White

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 13.4%

Derrick White

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.8 pp

Donovan Mitchell

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Donovan Mitchell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.7%

Donovan Mitchell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Donte DiVincenzo

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Donte DiVincenzo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.8%

Donte DiVincenzo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Dru Smith

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Dru Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

45.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 91.0%

Dru Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 42.6 pp

Dyson Daniels

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0%

Dyson Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

22.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 44.7%

Dyson Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 19.1 pp

Fred VanVleet

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Fred VanVleet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Fred VanVleet

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Grayson Allen

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Grayson Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0%

Grayson Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Herbert Jones

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Herbert Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.9%

Herbert Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Immanuel Quickley

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Immanuel Quickley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.7%

Immanuel Quickley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Jake LaRavia

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jake LaRavia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.9%

Jake LaRavia

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Jalen Brunson

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jalen Brunson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.1%

Jalen Brunson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Jalen Johnson

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jalen Johnson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Jalen Johnson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Jalen Suggs

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Jalen Suggs

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

40.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 81.7%

Jalen Suggs

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 37.0 pp

Jalen Williams

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jalen Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.0%

Jalen Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

James Harden

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

James Harden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.7%

James Harden

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Jayson Tatum

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jayson Tatum

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Jayson Tatum

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Jeremiah Fears

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jeremiah Fears

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Jeremiah Fears

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Jimmy Butler III

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jimmy Butler III

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.8%

Jimmy Butler III

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

John Konchar

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

John Konchar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.2%

John Konchar

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Jordan Goodwin

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Jordan Goodwin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.5%

Jordan Goodwin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Josh Hart

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Josh Hart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.9%

Josh Hart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.4 pp

Kawhi Leonard

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kawhi Leonard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.1%

Kawhi Leonard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.8%

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Kevin Porter Jr.

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Kevin Porter Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.5%

Kevin Porter Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Kris Dunn

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Kris Dunn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.2%

Bid 12.6% · Ask 13.7%

Kris Dunn

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.6 pp

Luguentz Dort

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Luguentz Dort

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.3%

Luguentz Dort

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Luka Doncic

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Luka Dončić

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.9%

Luka Doncic

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Marcus Smart

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Marcus Smart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.5%

Marcus Smart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Matisse Thybulle

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Matisse Thybulle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 17.9%

Matisse Thybulle

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.1 pp

Mikal Bridges

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Mikal Bridges

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Mikal Bridges

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.4%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Nikola Jokic

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Nikola Jokić

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Nikola Jokic

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

OG Anunoby

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

OG Anunoby

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.9%

OG Anunoby

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Paul George

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Paul George

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

44.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 89.4%

Paul George

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 39.9 pp

Reed Sheppard

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Reed Sheppard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.9%

Reed Sheppard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.7 pp

Ron Holland II

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ron Holland II

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.0%

Ron Holland II

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.7 pp

Ryan Rollins

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ryan Rollins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2%

Ryan Rollins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Scottie Barnes

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Scottie Barnes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.2%

Scottie Barnes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.7 pp

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Shaedon Sharpe

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Shaedon Sharpe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.8%

Shaedon Sharpe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.1%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

Tari Eason

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tari Eason

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.9%

Tari Eason

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Trey Murphy III

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Trey Murphy III

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

49.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 99.6%

Trey Murphy III

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 48.4 pp

Tyrese Haliburton

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tyrese Haliburton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.5%

Tyrese Haliburton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.9 pp

Tyrese Maxey

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tyrese Maxey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5%

Tyrese Maxey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

VJ Edgecombe

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

VJ Edgecombe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

VJ Edgecombe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Walker Kessler

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Walker Kessler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.5%

Walker Kessler

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Ziaire Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ziaire Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.5%

Ziaire Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Player AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.