Market comparison

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Murphy, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0% Murphy, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Murphy, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 50.0% Murphy, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% Murphy, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Murphy, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0% Murphy, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 3.2% · Ask 15.0% Murphy, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Murphy, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Murphy, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9% Murphy, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.7% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.3% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 11.4% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Murphy, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0%

Murphy, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Murphy, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 50.0%

Murphy, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

Murphy, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Murphy, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0%

Murphy, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 15.0%

Murphy, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Murphy, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Murphy, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9%

Murphy, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.7%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.3%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 11.4%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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