Market comparison

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.8% Bid 10.7% · Ask 14.9% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.4% · Ask 7.5% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
McDowell, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 91.9% McDowell, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 80.0% McDowell, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0% McDowell, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0% McDowell, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0% McDowell, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0% McDowell, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 9.7% · Ask 20.0% McDowell, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 4.5% · Ask 15.0% McDowell, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McDowell, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.7% McDowell, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.2% · Ask 7.9% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.7% Bid 8.6% · Ask 20.8% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.1% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 0.6% · Ask 10.2% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.8%

Bid 10.7% · Ask 14.9%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

McDowell, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 91.9%

McDowell, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 80.0%

McDowell, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0%

McDowell, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

McDowell, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0%

McDowell, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0%

McDowell, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.7% · Ask 20.0%

McDowell, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 15.0%

McDowell, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McDowell, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.7%

McDowell, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 7.9%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.7%

Bid 8.6% · Ask 20.8%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.1%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 10.2%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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