Market comparison

NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.6% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.1% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Harris, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.4% Harris, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 89.0% Harris, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0% Harris, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0% Harris, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 49.0% Harris, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0% Harris, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0% Harris, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 5.5% · Ask 17.0% Harris, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.9% Harris, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.4% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.3% Bid 20.1% · Ask 24.5% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.7% Bid 10.6% · Ask 12.8% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.1%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Harris, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.4%

Harris, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 89.0%

Harris, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0%

Harris, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0%

Harris, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 49.0%

Harris, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0%

Harris, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0%

Harris, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 17.0%

Harris, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.9%

Harris, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.4%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.3%

Bid 20.1% · Ask 24.5%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid 10.6% · Ask 12.8%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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