Market comparison

NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Ager, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 82.0% Ager, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0% Ager, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0% Ager, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0% Ager, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Ager, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.3% Bid 7.6% · Ask 19.0% Ager, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.8% · Ask 16.0% Balkcom, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Balkcom, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3% Balkcom, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.8% Balkcom, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Balkcom, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.7% Balkcom, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.4% Bid 16.2% · Ask 20.7% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Ager, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 82.0%

Ager, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0%

Ager, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0%

Ager, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0%

Ager, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ager, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.3%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 19.0%

Ager, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 16.0%

Balkcom, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Balkcom, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3%

Balkcom, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.8%

Balkcom, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Balkcom, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.7%

Balkcom, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.4%

Bid 16.2% · Ask 20.7%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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