Market comparison

NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.2% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.3% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.7% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 26.9% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Flood, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.5% Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0% Flood, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% Flood, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% Flood, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0% Flood, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0% Flood, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0% Flood, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Flood, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6% Flood, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flood, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5% Flood, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 11.9% · Ask 16.1% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.0% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.2%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.3%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.7%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 26.9%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Flood, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0%

Flood, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0%

Flood, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

Flood, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0%

Flood, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0%

Flood, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0%

Flood, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Flood, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6%

Flood, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flood, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5%

Flood, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 11.9% · Ask 16.1%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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