Market comparison

NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 26.6% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.6% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.2% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.7% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Powell, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.7% Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.4% Powell, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 91.8% Powell, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 80.0% Powell, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 64.0% Powell, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0% Powell, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0% Powell, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 8.6% · Ask 20.0% Powell, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Powell, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.9% Powell, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 26.6%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.6%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.2%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.7%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Powell, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.7%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.4%

Powell, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 91.8%

Powell, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.5%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 80.0%

Powell, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 64.0%

Powell, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

Powell, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0%

Powell, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 8.6% · Ask 20.0%

Powell, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Powell, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.9%

Powell, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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