Market comparison

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6% Republican 0-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.5% Republican 25-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.4% Bid 6.1% · Ask 10.7% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 16.3% · Ask 21.0% Republican 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.3% Bid 9.8% · Ask 14.8% Republican 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7% Republican 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 65%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.5% Republican 65%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Smith, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.1% Bid 90.1% · Ask 96.3% Smith, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% Smith, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Smith, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0% Smith, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 49.0% Smith, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Smith, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 17.0% Smith, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 57+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Smith, 57+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 60+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Smith, 60+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 0-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.5%

Republican 25-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.4%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 10.7%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 16.3% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.3%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 14.8%

Republican 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7%

Republican 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 65%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.5%

Republican 65%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Smith, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 96.3%

Smith, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0%

Smith, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Smith, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0%

Smith, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 49.0%

Smith, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Smith, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 17.0%

Smith, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 57+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Smith, 57+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 60+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Smith, 60+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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