Market comparison

Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Dan Osborn, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Dan Osborn, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Osborn, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0% Dan Osborn, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Osborn, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9% Dan Osborn, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Osborn, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1% Dan Osborn, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Osborn, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.2% Dan Osborn, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Democrat wins · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Independent 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Independent 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Independent 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Independent 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 3.8% · Ask 8.8% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.6% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ricketts, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 74.0% Ricketts, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 54.0% Ricketts, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0% Ricketts, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 20.0% Ricketts, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 12.0% Ricketts, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.2% Ricketts, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5% Ricketts, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ricketts, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Ricketts, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Dan Osborn, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0%

Dan Osborn, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Osborn, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0%

Dan Osborn, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Osborn, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9%

Dan Osborn, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Osborn, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1%

Dan Osborn, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Osborn, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.2%

Dan Osborn, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Democrat wins · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Independent 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Independent 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Independent 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Independent 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 8.8%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.6%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Ricketts, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 74.0%

Ricketts, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 54.0%

Ricketts, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0%

Ricketts, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 20.0%

Ricketts, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 12.0%

Ricketts, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.2%

Ricketts, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5%

Ricketts, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ricketts, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ricketts, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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