Market comparison

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.1% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 6.5% · Ask 6.6% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.1% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% Democrat 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Luján, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 96.9% Luján, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.9% Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.9% Luján, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.2% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.2% Luján, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Luján, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0% Luján, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0% Luján, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 53.0% Luján, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% Luján, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0% Luján, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Luján, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 8.3% · Ask 20.0% Luján, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luján, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0% Luján, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.4% · Ask 4.1% Republican 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.1%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 6.5% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.1%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%

Democrat 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Luján, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 96.9%

Luján, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.9%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.9%

Luján, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.2%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.2%

Luján, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Luján, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0%

Luján, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0%

Luján, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 53.0%

Luján, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

Luján, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0%

Luján, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Luján, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 20.0%

Luján, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luján, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0%

Luján, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 4.1%

Republican 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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