The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

2 venues · 34 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

29 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 11s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Greens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Greens

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Greens

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.5 pp

Labor

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Labor

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Labor

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.7 pp

One Nation

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 67.0%

One Nation

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 47.0%

One Nation

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 29.0 pp

A Place for All of Us

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

A Place for All of Us

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Animal Justice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Animal Justice

Open Polymarket ↗

Blue and White

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Blue and White

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Haredi Public

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Haredi Public

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Israel First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Israel First

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Legalise Cannabis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Legalise Cannabis

Open Polymarket ↗

Liberal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Liberal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Liberal–National

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0%

Liberal–National

Open Polymarket ↗

Libertarian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Libertarian

Open Polymarket ↗

Likud

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Likud

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nationals

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Nationals

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

New Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Noam for Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Noam for Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Otzma Yehudit

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

People of Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

People of Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ra'am

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ra'am

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Religious Zionist Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Religious Zionist Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Reservists–New Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Reservists–New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Shas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shooters, Fishers, Farmers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Shooters, Fishers, Farmers

Open Polymarket ↗

The Democrats

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 12.0%

The Democrats

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Together

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 89.0%

Together

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

United Torah Judaism

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

United Torah Judaism

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Unity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Unity

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Victorian Socialists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Victorian Socialists

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yashar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Yashar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yisrael Beiteinu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.