The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

2 venues · 3 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $146K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $46K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Lee Shu-chuan

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

45.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 46.0%

Lee Shu-chuan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Lee Shu-chuan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Su Chiao-hui

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 56.0%

Su Chiao-hui

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0%

Su Chiao-hui

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Huang Kuo-chang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Huang Kuo-chang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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