Market comparison

New York's 17th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York's 17th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Conley, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 55.0% Conley, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conley, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0% Conley, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conley, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0% Conley, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conley, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.7% Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0% Conley, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conley, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 1.3% · Ask 12.0% Conley, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conley, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Conley, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.4% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.8% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.9% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.2% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.1% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lawler, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Lawler, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawler, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 8.5% · Ask 20.0% Lawler, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawler, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 1.2% · Ask 12.0% Lawler, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.4% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.8% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.9% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Conley, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 55.0%

Conley, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Conley, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0%

Conley, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Conley, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0%

Conley, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Conley, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.7%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0%

Conley, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Conley, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 12.0%

Conley, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Conley, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Conley, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.4%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.8%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.9%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.2%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lawler, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

Lawler, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawler, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 20.0%

Lawler, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawler, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 12.0%

Lawler, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.8%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.9%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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