Market comparison

New York's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
LaLota, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0% LaLota, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0% LaLota, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0% LaLota, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 30.0% LaLota, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 9.4% · Ask 19.0% LaLota, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.6% Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.9% LaLota, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.0% LaLota, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.3% LaLota, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.4% Bid 9.9% · Ask 12.9% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 17.5% · Ask 19.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 11.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.7% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LaLota, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0%

LaLota, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0%

LaLota, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0%

LaLota, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 30.0%

LaLota, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 19.0%

LaLota, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.9%

LaLota, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.0%

LaLota, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.3%

LaLota, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.4%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 12.9%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 17.5% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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