Market comparison

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

1 venue · 39 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

66 outcomes · $124K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Alice Weidel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.7% · Ask 9.2% Alice Weidel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Boris Pistorius Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.7% Boris Pistorius Open Polymarket ↗	—
Carsten Linnemann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Carsten Linnemann Open Polymarket ↗	—
Felix Banaszak Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Felix Banaszak Open Polymarket ↗	—
Heidi Reichinnek Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Heidi Reichinnek Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hendrik Wüst Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Hendrik Wüst Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jens Spahn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Jens Spahn Open Polymarket ↗	—
Katharina Dröge Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Katharina Dröge Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lars Klingbeil Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6% Lars Klingbeil Open Polymarket ↗	—
Markus Söder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Markus Söder Open Polymarket ↗	—
No Next Chancellor before 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0% No Next Chancellor before 2028 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AQ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AR · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AT · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AU Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AU · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AV · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AW Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AW · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AX · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AY · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AZ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AZ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sahra Wagenknecht Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Sahra Wagenknecht Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tino Chrupalla Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tino Chrupalla Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alice Weidel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 9.2%

Alice Weidel

Open Polymarket ↗

Boris Pistorius

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.7%

Boris Pistorius

Open Polymarket ↗

Carsten Linnemann

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Carsten Linnemann

Open Polymarket ↗

Felix Banaszak

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Felix Banaszak

Open Polymarket ↗

Heidi Reichinnek

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Heidi Reichinnek

Open Polymarket ↗

Hendrik Wüst

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Hendrik Wüst

Open Polymarket ↗

Jens Spahn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Jens Spahn

Open Polymarket ↗

Katharina Dröge

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Katharina Dröge

Open Polymarket ↗

Lars Klingbeil

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6%

Lars Klingbeil

Open Polymarket ↗

Markus Söder

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Markus Söder

Open Polymarket ↗

No Next Chancellor before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AX · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AY · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AZ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AZ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Sahra Wagenknecht

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Sahra Wagenknecht

Open Polymarket ↗

Tino Chrupalla

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Tino Chrupalla

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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