Market comparison

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

4 outcomes · $126K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
1400+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 97.4% · Ask 98.5% 1400+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
1420+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.9% 1420+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
1440+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8% 1440+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
1460+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% 1460+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

1400+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.0%

Bid 97.4% · Ask 98.5%

1400+

Open Polymarket ↗

1420+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.9%

1420+

Open Polymarket ↗

1440+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8%

1440+

Open Polymarket ↗

1460+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

1460+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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