Market comparison

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

1 venue · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

20 outcomes · $850K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.3% Bid 94.5% · Ask 96.1% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 12 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.4% October 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 16 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 18 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 18 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 21 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% October 22 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% October 23 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% October 24 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% October 26 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0% October 27 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 38.0% October 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.5% Bid 40.0% · Ask 43.0% October 29 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0% October 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.6% Bid 42.3% · Ask 45.0% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

95.3%

Bid 94.5% · Ask 96.1%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

October 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

October 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9%

October 22

Open Polymarket ↗

October 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

October 23

Open Polymarket ↗

October 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

October 24

Open Polymarket ↗

October 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

October 26

Open Polymarket ↗

October 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

October 27

Open Polymarket ↗

October 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 38.0%

October 28

Open Polymarket ↗

October 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 43.0%

October 29

Open Polymarket ↗

October 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0%

October 30

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.6%

Bid 42.3% · Ask 45.0%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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