Market comparison

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

1 venue · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

30 outcomes · $262K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
No release by October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.2% Bid 52.4% · Ask 58.0% No release by October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 10.3% October 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 3.3% October 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 12 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 13 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 13 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 16 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 18 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 18 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 19 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 19 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.3% October 20 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 21 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% October 22 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3% October 23 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9% October 24 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 25 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% October 25 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% October 26 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.1% Bid 16.2% · Ask 26.0% October 27 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 1.9% · Ask 11.6% October 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.3% October 29 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% October 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
On or prior to October 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 4.0% On or prior to October 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

No release by October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.2%

Bid 52.4% · Ask 58.0%

No release by October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

October 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.3%

October 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 3.3%

October 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.3%

October 20 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

October 22

Open Polymarket ↗

October 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3%

October 23

Open Polymarket ↗

October 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9%

October 24

Open Polymarket ↗

October 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

October 25

Open Polymarket ↗

October 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2%

October 26

Open Polymarket ↗

October 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.1%

Bid 16.2% · Ask 26.0%

October 27

Open Polymarket ↗

October 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 11.6%

October 28

Open Polymarket ↗

October 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.3%

October 29

Open Polymarket ↗

October 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2%

October 30

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

On or prior to October 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 4.0%

On or prior to October 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets