Market comparison

Next government of the United Kingdom?

1 venue · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

19 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next government of the United Kingdom?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conservative majority Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% Conservative majority Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conservative minority Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5% Conservative minority Open Kalshi ↗	—
Conservative minority + Reform UK support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.6% Conservative minority + Reform UK support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.1% Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour majority Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0% Labour majority Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour minority Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 9.4% Labour minority Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour minority + Green support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3% Labour minority + Green support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour minority + Green support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.1% Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour minority + SNP support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.4% Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour minority + SNP support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6% Labour minority + SNP support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 3.5% · Ask 11.0% Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK and Conservative coalition Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.4% Reform UK and Conservative coalition Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK majority Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.1% · Ask 11.0% Reform UK majority Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK minority Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Reform UK minority Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK minority + Conservative support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 11.0% Reform UK minority + Conservative support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK minority + DUP support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.5% Reform UK minority + DUP support Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK minority + DUP support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.1% Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reform UK minority + DUP support Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6% Conservative minority + DUP support Open Kalshi ↗	—

Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition

Open Kalshi ↗

Conservative majority

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7%

Conservative majority

Open Kalshi ↗

Conservative minority

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5%

Conservative minority

Open Kalshi ↗

Conservative minority + Reform UK support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.6%

Conservative minority + Reform UK support

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.1%

Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour majority

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0%

Labour majority

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour minority

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 9.4%

Labour minority

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour minority + Green support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3%

Labour minority + Green support

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour minority + Green support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.1%

Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour minority + SNP support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.4%

Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour minority + SNP support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6%

Labour minority + SNP support

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 11.0%

Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK and Conservative coalition

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.4%

Reform UK and Conservative coalition

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK majority

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 11.0%

Reform UK majority

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK minority

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Reform UK minority

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK minority + Conservative support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 11.0%

Reform UK minority + Conservative support

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK minority + DUP support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.5%

Reform UK minority + DUP support

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK minority + DUP support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.1%

Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform UK minority + DUP support

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6%

Conservative minority + DUP support

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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