Market comparison

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

4 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
1440+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 74.0% 1440+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
1450+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 73.0% 1450+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
1460+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 65.0% 1460+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
1470+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 35.0% 1470+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

1440+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 74.0%

1440+

Open Polymarket ↗

1450+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 73.0%

1450+

Open Polymarket ↗

1460+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 65.0%

1460+

Open Polymarket ↗

1470+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 35.0%

1470+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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