Market comparison

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $818K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $42K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 75.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Feb 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 95.0% Before Feb 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 46.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Mar 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 70.0% Before Mar 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0% December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
November 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0% November 30, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 5, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% October 5, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% October 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 24, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 24, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 75.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Feb 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 95.0%

Before Feb 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 46.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Mar 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 70.0%

Before Mar 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

November 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0%

November 30, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 5, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 5, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

October 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 24, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 24, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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