Market comparison

NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 24.1% · Ask 29.9% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 38.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.8% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.1% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
DiLorenzo, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% DiLorenzo, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shaheen, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.8% Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.0% Shaheen, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 84.0% Shaheen, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	76.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 78.0% Shaheen, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 59.0% Shaheen, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Shaheen, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0% Shaheen, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Shaheen, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaheen, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0% Shaheen, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 24.1% · Ask 29.9%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 38.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.8%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.1%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

DiLorenzo, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3%

DiLorenzo, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Shaheen, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.8%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.0%

Shaheen, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 84.0%

Shaheen, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 78.0%

Shaheen, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 59.0%

Shaheen, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0%

Shaheen, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0%

Shaheen, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Shaheen, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaheen, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.4%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0%

Shaheen, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets