The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

NHL Calder Memorial Trophy

2 venues · 90 outcome rows · 4 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

81 outcomes · $85K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

40 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 7, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Gavin McKenna

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0%

Gavin McKenna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 34.0%

Gavin McKenna

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Ivar Stenberg

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Ivar Stenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0%

Ivar Stenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Nikita Klepov

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Nikita Klepov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 58.0%

Nikita Klepov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 28.5 pp

Viggo Björck

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.9%

Viggo Björck

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

28.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 57.0%

Viggo Björck

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 25.8 pp

Adam Engström

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Adam Engström

Open Kalshi ↗

Adam Novotný

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid — · Ask 5.4%

Adam Novotný

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Alberts Smits

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.5%

Alberts Smits

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Alex Bump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 86.0%

Alex Bump

Open Kalshi ↗

Alexander Command

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Alexander Command

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Anton Frondell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 20.0%

Anton Frondell

Open Kalshi ↗

Artur Akhtyamov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 86.0%

Artur Akhtyamov

Open Kalshi ↗

Artyom Levshunov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Artyom Levshunov

Open Kalshi ↗

Beckett Sennecke

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Beckett Sennecke

Open Kalshi ↗

Berkly Catton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Berkly Catton

Open Kalshi ↗

Bradly Nadeau

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Bradly Nadeau

Open Kalshi ↗

Caleb Desnoyers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Caleb Desnoyers

Open Kalshi ↗

Caleb Malhotra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5%

Caleb Malhotra

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Carson Carels

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Carson Carels

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Carter Yakemchuk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Carter Yakemchuk

Open Kalshi ↗

Chase Reid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3%

Chase Reid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cole Hutson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

Cole Hutson

Open Kalshi ↗

Collin Graf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Collin Graf

Open Kalshi ↗

Dalibor Dvorsky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 88.0%

Dalibor Dvorsky

Open Kalshi ↗

Danila Yurov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Danila Yurov

Open Kalshi ↗

Daxon Rudolph

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Daxon Rudolph

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Elton Hermansson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Elton Hermansson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ethan Belchetz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1%

Ethan Belchetz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gabe Perreault

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Gabe Perreault

Open Kalshi ↗

Igor Chernyshov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Igor Chernyshov

Open Kalshi ↗

Ilya Morozov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Ilya Morozov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ilya Protas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 86.0%

Ilya Protas

Open Kalshi ↗

Jacob Fowler

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Jacob Fowler

Open Kalshi ↗

James Hagens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 29.0%

James Hagens

Open Kalshi ↗

Jonathan Lekkerimaki

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 88.0%

Jonathan Lekkerimaki

Open Kalshi ↗

JP Hurlbert

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

JP Hurlbert

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Keaton Verhoeff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Keaton Verhoeff

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Konsta Helenius

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 59.0%

Konsta Helenius

Open Kalshi ↗

Liam Ruck

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Liam Ruck

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Luca Cagnoni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Luca Cagnoni

Open Kalshi ↗

Maddox Dagenais

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 12.5%

Maddox Dagenais

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Malte Gustafsson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Malte Gustafsson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Marcus Nordmark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Marcus Nordmark

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Markus Ruck

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Markus Ruck

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mathis Preston

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Mathis Preston

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Matthew Savoie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Matthew Savoie

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 86.0%

Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

Open Kalshi ↗

Oliver Suvanto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Oliver Suvanto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oscar Hemming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Oscar Hemming

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Player AX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AX · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Porter Martone

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Porter Martone

Open Kalshi ↗

Roman Kantserov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 19.0%

Roman Kantserov

Open Kalshi ↗

Ryan Lin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 15.4%

Ryan Lin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ryan Ufko

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Ryan Ufko

Open Kalshi ↗

Sam Dickinson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Sam Dickinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Sandis Vilmanis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Sandis Vilmanis

Open Kalshi ↗

Sebastian Cossa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Sebastian Cossa

Open Kalshi ↗

Sergei Murashov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 48.0%

Sergei Murashov

Open Kalshi ↗

Theo Lindstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Theo Lindstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Tij Iginla

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Tij Iginla

Open Kalshi ↗

Tommy Bleyl

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Tommy Bleyl

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Trevor Connelly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 29.0%

Trevor Connelly

Open Kalshi ↗

Tynan Lawrence

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Tynan Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Victor Eklund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 58.0%

Victor Eklund

Open Kalshi ↗

William Hakansson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

William Hakansson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wyatt Cullen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Wyatt Cullen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Xavier Villeneuve

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Xavier Villeneuve

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Zeev Buium

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Zeev Buium

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.