Market comparison

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy

2 venues · 70 outcome rows · 29 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

75 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Adam Fox Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 55.0% Adam Fox Open Kalshi ↗	22.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 44.9% Adam Fox Open Polymarket ↗	20.6 pp
Brock Faber Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Brock Faber Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.9% Brock Faber Open Polymarket ↗	3.0 pp
Cale Makar Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	21.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 21.0% Cale Makar Open Kalshi ↗	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Cale Makar Open Polymarket ↗	5.0 pp
Cam Fowler Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cam Fowler Open Kalshi ↗	3.9% Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.0% Cam Fowler Open Polymarket ↗	3.4 pp
Charlie McAvoy Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Charlie McAvoy Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Charlie McAvoy Open Polymarket ↗	3.7 pp
Dougie Hamilton Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dougie Hamilton Open Kalshi ↗	12.0% Bid — · Ask 24.0% Dougie Hamilton Open Polymarket ↗	11.5 pp
Erik Karlsson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Erik Karlsson Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.8% Erik Karlsson Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Evan Bouchard Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	35.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Evan Bouchard Open Kalshi ↗	48.9% Bid 25.0% · Ask 72.8% Evan Bouchard Open Polymarket ↗	13.9 pp
Jaccob Slavin Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jaccob Slavin Open Kalshi ↗	25.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 50.3% Jaccob Slavin Open Polymarket ↗	24.7 pp
Jackson LaCombe Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Jackson LaCombe Open Kalshi ↗	30.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 61.2% Jackson LaCombe Open Polymarket ↗	27.7 pp
Jake Sanderson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Jake Sanderson Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Jake Sanderson Open Polymarket ↗	2.7 pp
Josh Morrissey Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Josh Morrissey Open Kalshi ↗	33.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 65.9% Josh Morrissey Open Polymarket ↗	32.0 pp
Lane Hutson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Lane Hutson Open Kalshi ↗	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Lane Hutson Open Polymarket ↗	4.0 pp
Luke Hughes Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Luke Hughes Open Kalshi ↗	17.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 34.9% Luke Hughes Open Polymarket ↗	17.0 pp
Mike Matheson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mike Matheson Open Kalshi ↗	3.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.0% Mike Matheson Open Polymarket ↗	3.0 pp
Mikhail Sergachev Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Mikhail Sergachev Open Kalshi ↗	30.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 60.5% Mikhail Sergachev Open Polymarket ↗	28.3 pp
Miro Heiskanen Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Miro Heiskanen Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.0% Miro Heiskanen Open Polymarket ↗	2.6 pp
Morgan Rielly Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Morgan Rielly Open Kalshi ↗	10.9% Bid — · Ask 21.9% Morgan Rielly Open Polymarket ↗	10.4 pp
Neal Pionk Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Neal Pionk Open Kalshi ↗	9.5% Bid — · Ask 19.0% Neal Pionk Open Polymarket ↗	9.0 pp
Noah Dobson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Noah Dobson Open Kalshi ↗	14.5% Bid — · Ask 29.0% Noah Dobson Open Polymarket ↗	14.0 pp
Philip Broberg Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Philip Broberg Open Kalshi ↗	27.4% Bid — · Ask 54.8% Philip Broberg Open Polymarket ↗	26.9 pp
Quinn Hughes Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	20.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Quinn Hughes Open Kalshi ↗	32.2% Bid 5.1% · Ask 59.3% Quinn Hughes Open Polymarket ↗	12.2 pp
Rasmus Dahlin Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	12.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Rasmus Dahlin Open Kalshi ↗	6.3% Bid 5.4% · Ask 7.3% Rasmus Dahlin Open Polymarket ↗	5.6 pp
Rasmus Sandin Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Rasmus Sandin Open Kalshi ↗	17.5% Bid — · Ask 35.0% Rasmus Sandin Open Polymarket ↗	17.0 pp
Roman Josi Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Roman Josi Open Kalshi ↗	21.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 42.9% Roman Josi Open Polymarket ↗	20.5 pp
Shea Theodore Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Shea Theodore Open Kalshi ↗	24.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 48.8% Shea Theodore Open Polymarket ↗	23.5 pp
Thomas Harley Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Thomas Harley Open Kalshi ↗	16.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 33.0% Thomas Harley Open Polymarket ↗	16.1 pp
Victor Hedman Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Victor Hedman Open Kalshi ↗	3.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.0% Victor Hedman Open Polymarket ↗	3.1 pp
Zach Werenski Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	16.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0% Zach Werenski Open Kalshi ↗	8.3% Bid 5.1% · Ask 11.4% Zach Werenski Open Polymarket ↗	7.8 pp
Aaron Ekblad Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8% Aaron Ekblad Open Polymarket ↗	—
Adam Larsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid — · Ask 21.0% Adam Larsson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alex Pietrangelo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid — · Ask 11.0% Alex Pietrangelo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alex Vlasic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Alex Vlasic Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bowen Byram Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.0% Bowen Byram Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brady Skjei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.1% Brady Skjei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brandon Montour Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 55.9% Brandon Montour Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brandt Clarke Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 39.0% Brandt Clarke Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brent Burns Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.1% Brent Burns Open Polymarket ↗	—
Colton Parayko Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid — · Ask 39.0% Colton Parayko Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dante Fabbro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Dante Fabbro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Darnell Nurse Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.8% Darnell Nurse Open Polymarket ↗	—
Devon Toews Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid — · Ask 44.0% Devon Toews Open Polymarket ↗	—
Drew Doughty Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.0% Drew Doughty Open Polymarket ↗	—
Esa Lindell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 30.1% Esa Lindell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Filip Hronek Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid — · Ask 30.0% Filip Hronek Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gustav Forsling Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.0% Gustav Forsling Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hampus Lindholm Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.0% Hampus Lindholm Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jake Walman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 44.0% Jake Walman Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jakob Chychrun Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 65.4% Jakob Chychrun Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Spurgeon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid — · Ask 39.0% Jared Spurgeon Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Carlson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.9% Bid — · Ask 45.7% John Carlson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Justin Faulk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.0% Justin Faulk Open Polymarket ↗	—
K'Andre Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid — · Ask 26.0% K'Andre Miller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kris Letang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 51.6% Kris Letang Open Polymarket ↗	—
MacKenzie Weegar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 39.0% MacKenzie Weegar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mason Lohrei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid — · Ask 25.0% Mason Lohrei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matthew Schaefer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Matthew Schaefer Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mattias Ekholm Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid — · Ask 30.0% Mattias Ekholm Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moritz Seider Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.7% Moritz Seider Open Polymarket ↗	—
Noah Hanifin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 20.0% Noah Hanifin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Owen Power Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid — · Ask 21.0% Owen Power Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rasmus Andersson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.0% Rasmus Andersson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryker Evans Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 26.0% Ryker Evans Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sean Durzi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid — · Ask 29.0% Sean Durzi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Seth Jones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 25.0% Seth Jones Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shayne Gostisbehere Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 55.9% Shayne Gostisbehere Open Polymarket ↗	—
Simon Edvinsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid — · Ask 20.0% Simon Edvinsson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Thomas Chabot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid — · Ask 26.0% Thomas Chabot Open Polymarket ↗	—
Travis Sanheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid — · Ask 29.0% Travis Sanheim Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vince Dunn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.0% Vince Dunn Open Polymarket ↗	—

Adam Fox

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 55.0%

Adam Fox

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

22.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 44.9%

Adam Fox

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Known rule differences between venues

Adam Fox

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brock Faber

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cale Makar

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cam Fowler

Kalshi

Polymarket

Charlie McAvoy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dougie Hamilton

Kalshi

Polymarket

Erik Karlsson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Evan Bouchard

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaccob Slavin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson LaCombe

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jake Sanderson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh Morrissey

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lane Hutson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Luke Hughes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mike Matheson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mikhail Sergachev

Kalshi

Polymarket

Miro Heiskanen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Morgan Rielly

Kalshi

Polymarket

Neal Pionk

Kalshi

Polymarket

Noah Dobson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Philip Broberg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Quinn Hughes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rasmus Dahlin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rasmus Sandin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Roman Josi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Shea Theodore