Market comparison
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner
2 venues · 70 outcome rows · 29 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗30 outcomes · $14K reported volume
Observed 26s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 7, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗75 outcomes · $5K reported volume
Observed 26s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Adam Fox Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 20.8 pp | ||
Brock Faber Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Cale Makar Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.0 pp | ||
Cam Fowler Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.5 pp | ||
Charlie McAvoy Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.7 pp | ||
Dougie Hamilton Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 11.5 pp | ||
Erik Karlsson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.7 pp | ||
Evan Bouchard Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 6.5 pp | ||
Jaccob Slavin Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.3 pp | ||
Jackson LaCombe Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.9 pp | ||
Jake Sanderson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.7 pp | ||
Josh Morrissey Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.3 pp | ||
Lane Hutson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.0 pp | ||
Luke Hughes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.6 pp | ||
Mike Matheson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Mikhail Sergachev Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.3 pp | ||
Miro Heiskanen Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Morgan Rielly Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 10.4 pp | ||
Neal Pionk Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 9.0 pp | ||
Noah Dobson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 14.0 pp | ||
Philip Broberg Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 26.9 pp | ||
Quinn Hughes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.8 pp | ||
Rasmus Dahlin Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.9 pp | ||
Rasmus Sandin Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 17.0 pp | ||
Roman Josi Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.3 pp | ||
Shea Theodore Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.9 pp | ||
Thomas Harley Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.3 pp | ||
Victor Hedman Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Zach Werenski Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.8 pp | ||
Aaron Ekblad Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Adam Larsson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alex Pietrangelo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alex Vlasic Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Bowen Byram Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Brady Skjei Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Brandon Montour Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Brandt Clarke Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Brent Burns Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Colton Parayko Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Dante Fabbro Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Darnell Nurse Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Devon Toews Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Drew Doughty Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Esa Lindell Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Filip Hronek Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Gustav Forsling Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hampus Lindholm Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jake Walman Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jakob Chychrun Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jared Spurgeon Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
John Carlson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Justin Faulk Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
K'Andre Miller Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kris Letang Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
MacKenzie Weegar Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mason Lohrei Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Matthew Schaefer Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mattias Ekholm Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Moritz Seider Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Noah Hanifin Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Owen Power Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Rasmus Andersson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ryker Evans Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sean Durzi Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Seth Jones Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Shayne Gostisbehere Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Simon Edvinsson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Thomas Chabot Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Travis Sanheim Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Vince Dunn Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Adam Fox
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 20.8 pp
Brock Faber
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Cale Makar
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.0 pp
Cam Fowler
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.5 pp
Charlie McAvoy
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.7 pp
Dougie Hamilton
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 11.5 pp
Erik Karlsson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.7 pp
Evan Bouchard
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 6.5 pp
Jaccob Slavin
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.3 pp
Jackson LaCombe
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.9 pp
Jake Sanderson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.7 pp
Josh Morrissey
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.3 pp
Lane Hutson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.0 pp
Luke Hughes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.6 pp
Mike Matheson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Mikhail Sergachev
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.3 pp
Miro Heiskanen
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Morgan Rielly
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 10.4 pp
Neal Pionk
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 9.0 pp
Noah Dobson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 14.0 pp
Philip Broberg
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 26.9 pp
Quinn Hughes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.8 pp
Rasmus Dahlin
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.9 pp
Rasmus Sandin
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 17.0 pp
Roman Josi
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.3 pp
Shea Theodore
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.9 pp
Thomas Harley
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.3 pp
Victor Hedman
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Zach Werenski
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.8 pp
Aaron Ekblad
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Adam Larsson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Alex Pietrangelo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Alex Vlasic
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Bowen Byram
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Brady Skjei
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Brandon Montour
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Brandt Clarke
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Brent Burns
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Colton Parayko
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Dante Fabbro
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Darnell Nurse
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Devon Toews
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Drew Doughty
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Esa Lindell
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Filip Hronek
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Gustav Forsling
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Hampus Lindholm
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Jake Walman
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Jakob Chychrun
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Jared Spurgeon
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
John Carlson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Justin Faulk
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
K'Andre Miller
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Kris Letang
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
MacKenzie Weegar
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Mason Lohrei
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Matthew Schaefer
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Mattias Ekholm
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Moritz Seider
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Noah Hanifin
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Owen Power
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Rasmus Andersson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Ryker Evans
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Sean Durzi
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Seth Jones
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Shayne Gostisbehere
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Simon Edvinsson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Thomas Chabot
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Travis Sanheim
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Vince Dunn
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.