Market comparison

NHL: Players to Record 40+ Goals

2 venues · 89 outcome rows · 33 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

41 outcomes · $37K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 13, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

81 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 30, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for NHL: Players to Record 40+ Goals
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Adrian Kempe Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Adrian Kempe Open Kalshi ↗	43.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 80.0% Adrian Kempe Open Polymarket ↗	23.0 pp
Alex DeBrincat Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	40.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Alex DeBrincat Open Kalshi ↗	49.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 95.0% Alex DeBrincat Open Polymarket ↗	9.5 pp
Alex Tuch Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Alex Tuch Open Kalshi ↗	51.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 86.0% Alex Tuch Open Polymarket ↗	29.0 pp
Auston Matthews Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Auston Matthews Open Kalshi ↗	35.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 59.0% Auston Matthews Open Polymarket ↗	17.5 pp
Brady Tkachuk Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% Brady Tkachuk Open Kalshi ↗	58.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 91.0% Brady Tkachuk Open Polymarket ↗	33.5 pp
Brandon Hagel Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Brandon Hagel Open Kalshi ↗	39.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 53.0% Brandon Hagel Open Polymarket ↗	9.0 pp
Cole Caufield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0% Cole Caufield Open Kalshi ↗	52.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 94.0% Cole Caufield Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Connor Bedard Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Connor Bedard Open Kalshi ↗	48.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 93.0% Connor Bedard Open Polymarket ↗	33.0 pp
Connor McDavid Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	51.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Connor McDavid Open Kalshi ↗	70.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 94.0% Connor McDavid Open Polymarket ↗	19.5 pp
David Pastrnak Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0% David Pastrnak Open Kalshi ↗	38.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 57.0% David Pastrnak Open Polymarket ↗	5.5 pp
Dylan Guenther Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 39.0% Dylan Guenther Open Kalshi ↗	54.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 84.0% Dylan Guenther Open Polymarket ↗	15.0 pp
Dylan Larkin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Dylan Larkin Open Kalshi ↗	23.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 40.0% Dylan Larkin Open Polymarket ↗	6.5 pp
Filip Forsberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0% Filip Forsberg Open Kalshi ↗	47.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 84.0% Filip Forsberg Open Polymarket ↗	24.5 pp
Jack Hughes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Jack Hughes Open Kalshi ↗	46.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 87.0% Jack Hughes Open Polymarket ↗	26.5 pp
Jake Guentzel Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Jake Guentzel Open Kalshi ↗	47.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 86.0% Jake Guentzel Open Polymarket ↗	16.0 pp
Jason Robertson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0% Jason Robertson Open Kalshi ↗	50.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 97.0% Jason Robertson Open Polymarket ↗	14.5 pp
Kirill Kaprizov Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	64.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 65.0% Kirill Kaprizov Open Kalshi ↗	69.5% Bid 50.0% · Ask 89.0% Kirill Kaprizov Open Polymarket ↗	5.5 pp
Kyle Connor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	57.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 58.0% Kyle Connor Open Kalshi ↗	52.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 97.0% Kyle Connor Open Polymarket ↗	5.0 pp
Leon Draisaitl Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Leon Draisaitl Open Kalshi ↗	71.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 89.0% Leon Draisaitl Open Polymarket ↗	18.0 pp
Macklin Celebrini Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	54.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0% Macklin Celebrini Open Kalshi ↗	72.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 96.0% Macklin Celebrini Open Polymarket ↗	18.0 pp
Mark Scheifele Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Mark Scheifele Open Kalshi ↗	31.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 51.0% Mark Scheifele Open Polymarket ↗	14.5 pp
Martin Necas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% Martin Necas Open Kalshi ↗	21.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 29.0% Martin Necas Open Polymarket ↗	4.0 pp
Mika Zibanejad Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Mika Zibanejad Open Kalshi ↗	7.2% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.5% Mika Zibanejad Open Polymarket ↗	2.8 pp
Mikko Rantanen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Mikko Rantanen Open Kalshi ↗	42.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 81.0% Mikko Rantanen Open Polymarket ↗	27.0 pp
Nathan MacKinnon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	68.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 68.0% Nathan MacKinnon Open Kalshi ↗	72.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 95.0% Nathan MacKinnon Open Polymarket ↗	4.0 pp
Nikita Kucherov Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Nikita Kucherov Open Kalshi ↗	44.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 58.0% Nikita Kucherov Open Polymarket ↗	13.0 pp
Pavel Dorofeyev Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Pavel Dorofeyev Open Kalshi ↗	14.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 25.0% Pavel Dorofeyev Open Polymarket ↗	6.0 pp
Sam Reinhart Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0% Sam Reinhart Open Kalshi ↗	58.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 88.0% Sam Reinhart Open Polymarket ↗	21.5 pp
Steven Stamkos Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0% Steven Stamkos Open Kalshi ↗	44.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 85.0% Steven Stamkos Open Polymarket ↗	16.5 pp
Tage Thompson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0% Tage Thompson Open Kalshi ↗	55.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 62.0% Tage Thompson Open Polymarket ↗	8.0 pp
Tim Stutzle Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Tim Stutzle Open Kalshi ↗	23.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 42.0% Tim Stutzle Open Polymarket ↗	5.0 pp
William Nylander Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	41.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0% William Nylander Open Kalshi ↗	49.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 93.0% William Nylander Open Polymarket ↗	8.0 pp
Wyatt Johnston Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0% Wyatt Johnston Open Kalshi ↗	51.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Wyatt Johnston Open Polymarket ↗	16.5 pp
Adam Fantilli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 85.0% Adam Fantilli Open Polymarket ↗	—
Aleksander Barkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Aleksander Barkov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alex Ovechkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 88.0% Alex Ovechkin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrei Svechnikov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 87.0% Andrei Svechnikov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Artemi Panarin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 93.0% Artemi Panarin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bo Horvat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 87.0% Bo Horvat Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brad Marchand Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.6% Brad Marchand Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brayden Point Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 83.0% Brayden Point Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brock Boeser Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 93.0% Brock Boeser Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brock Nelson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 45.0% Brock Nelson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bryan Rust Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.4% Bryan Rust Open Polymarket ↗	—
Carter Verhaeghe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% Carter Verhaeghe Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chris Kreider Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.3% Chris Kreider Open Polymarket ↗	—
Clayton Keller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 83.0% Clayton Keller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cutter Gauthier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Cutter Gauthier Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Drake Batherson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Drake Batherson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Elias Pettersson (1998) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.0% Elias Pettersson (1998) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elias Pettersson (2004) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4% Elias Pettersson (2004) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ivan Demidov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Ivan Demidov Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
J.T. Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.3% J.T. Miller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jack Eichel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 40.0% Jack Eichel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared McCann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.9% Bid 4.7% · Ask 45.0% Jared McCann Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jesper Bratt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.6% Bid 5.1% · Ask 94.2% Jesper Bratt Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Tavares Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 24.0% John Tavares Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Kyrou Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 85.0% Jordan Kyrou Open Polymarket ↗	—
Juraj Slafkovsky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 89.0% Juraj Slafkovsky Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kevin Fiala Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0% Kevin Fiala Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kirill Marchenko Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 82.0% Kirill Marchenko Open Polymarket ↗	—
Leo Carlsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Leo Carlsson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lucas Raymond Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 86.0% Lucas Raymond Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mark Stone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 48.0% Mark Stone Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mathew Barzal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 12.0% Mathew Barzal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matt Boldy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Matt Boldy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Matt Boldy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 93.0% Matthew Boldy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matt Duchene Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Matt Duchene Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matthew Tkachuk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.3% Bid 5.1% · Ask 77.4% Matthew Tkachuk Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matvei Michkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Matvei Michkov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mitchell Marner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0% Mitchell Marner Open Polymarket ↗	—
Morgan Geekie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Morgan Geekie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nazem Kadri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Nazem Kadri Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nick Schmaltz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Nick Schmaltz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nick Suzuki Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 47.0% Nick Suzuki Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nico Hischier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 49.0% Nico Hischier Open Polymarket ↗	—
Patrik Laine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.0% Patrik Laine Open Polymarket ↗	—
Quinton Byfield Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Quinton Byfield Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert Thomas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 95.0% Robert Thomas Open Polymarket ↗	—
Roope Hintz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 40.0% Roope Hintz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sebastian Aho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 78.0% Sebastian Aho Open Polymarket ↗	—
Seth Jarvis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% Seth Jarvis Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sidney Crosby Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 39.0% Sidney Crosby Open Polymarket ↗	—
Timo Meier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Timo Meier Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tom Wilson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 44.0% Tom Wilson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tomas Hertl Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 80.0% Tomas Hertl Open Polymarket ↗	—
Travis Konecny Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 24.0% Travis Konecny Open Polymarket ↗	—
Will Smith:: SJ Sharks Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Will Smith:: SJ Sharks Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zach Hyman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 43.0% Zach Hyman Open Polymarket ↗	—

Adrian Kempe

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Adrian Kempe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 80.0%

Adrian Kempe

NHL: Players to Record 40+ Goals

Kalshi

Polymarket

Adrian Kempe

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alex DeBrincat

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alex Tuch

Kalshi

Polymarket

Auston Matthews

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brady Tkachuk

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brandon Hagel

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cole Caufield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Connor Bedard

Kalshi

Polymarket

Connor McDavid

Kalshi

Polymarket

David Pastrnak

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dylan Guenther

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dylan Larkin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Filip Forsberg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jack Hughes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jake Guentzel

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jason Robertson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kirill Kaprizov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kyle Connor

Kalshi

Polymarket

Leon Draisaitl

Kalshi

Polymarket

Macklin Celebrini

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mark Scheifele

Kalshi

Polymarket

Martin Necas

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mika Zibanejad

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mikko Rantanen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nathan MacKinnon

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nikita Kucherov

Kalshi