The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

NHL Western Conference Finals Winner

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

16 outcomes · $170K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 15, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $42K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Anaheim Ducks

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Anaheim Ducks

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Anaheim Ducks

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Calgary Flames

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Calgary Flames

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.2%

Calgary Flames

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Chicago Blackhawks

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chicago Blackhawks

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Chicago Blackhawks

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Colorado Avalanche

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Colorado Avalanche

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Colorado Avalanche

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Dallas Stars

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Dallas Stars

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Dallas Stars

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Edmonton Oilers

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Edmonton Oilers

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Edmonton Oilers

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Los Angeles Kings

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Los Angeles Kings

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 4.0%

Los Angeles Kings

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Minnesota Wild

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Minnesota Wild

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Minnesota Wild

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Nashville Predators

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nashville Predators

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Nashville Predators

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

San Jose Sharks

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

San Jose Sharks

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.0%

San Jose Sharks

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Seattle Kraken

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Seattle Kraken

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Seattle Kraken

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

St. Louis Blues

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

St. Louis Blues

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.1%

St. Louis Blues

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Vancouver Canucks

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Vancouver Canucks

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Vancouver Canucks

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Vegas Golden Knights

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Vegas Golden Knights

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Vegas Golden Knights

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Winnipeg Jets

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Winnipeg Jets

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 2.5%

Winnipeg Jets

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Utah Hockey Club

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Utah Hockey Club

Open Polymarket ↗

Utah Mammoth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Utah Mammoth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.