Market comparison

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.2% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.4% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.1% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Drew, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Drew, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% Drew, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0% Drew, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0% Drew, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Drew, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.4% Bid 4.8% · Ask 16.0% Drew, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Drew, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drew, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Drew, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mullock, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 9.5% · Ask 21.0% Mullock, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.4% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.3% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.2%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.4%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.1%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Drew, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Drew, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

Drew, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0%

Drew, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0%

Drew, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Drew, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.4%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 16.0%

Drew, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0%

Drew, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Drew, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Drew, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mullock, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 21.0%

Mullock, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.4%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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