Market comparison

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $32K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 2.2% · Ask 9.4% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.4% Bid 13.3% · Ask 15.5% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.7% Bid 19.1% · Ask 22.3% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.1% Bid 17.6% · Ask 24.6% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Smith, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.4% Bid 90.2% · Ask 99.7% Smith, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.6% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.3% Smith, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Smith, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0% Smith, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% Smith, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 47.0% Smith, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0% Smith, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 9.3% · Ask 21.0% Smith, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 13.0% Smith, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 9.4%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.4%

Bid 13.3% · Ask 15.5%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.7%

Bid 19.1% · Ask 22.3%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.1%

Bid 17.6% · Ask 24.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Smith, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.4%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 99.7%

Smith, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.6%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.3%

Smith, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Smith, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0%

Smith, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

Smith, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 47.0%

Smith, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0%

Smith, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 21.0%

Smith, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 13.0%

Smith, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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