Market comparison

NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.2% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 18.1% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.6% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.2% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.9% · Ask 11.1% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.9% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gottheimer, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.9% Bid 91.5% · Ask 98.3% Gottheimer, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.3% Gottheimer, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.7% Gottheimer, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0% Gottheimer, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Gottheimer, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0% Gottheimer, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 40.0% Gottheimer, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Gottheimer, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0% Gottheimer, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.4% Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0% Gottheimer, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gottheimer, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8% Gottheimer, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.2%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 18.1%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.6%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.2%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 11.1%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.9%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gottheimer, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.9%

Bid 91.5% · Ask 98.3%

Gottheimer, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.3%

Gottheimer, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.7%

Gottheimer, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0%

Gottheimer, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Gottheimer, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0%

Gottheimer, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 40.0%

Gottheimer, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Gottheimer, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0%

Gottheimer, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.4%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0%

Gottheimer, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8%

Gottheimer, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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