Market comparison

NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bennett, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 89.0% Bennett, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bennett, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0% Bennett, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bennett, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0% Bennett, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bennett, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 55.0% Bennett, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bennett, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Bennett, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bennett, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Bennett, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bennett, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.4% Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0% Bennett, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.1% Bid 23.2% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.9% · Ask 6.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 18.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.3% Bid 13.1% · Ask 17.5% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.9% Bid 10.5% · Ask 13.3% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 9.6% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.6% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.5% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bennett, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 89.0%

Bennett, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bennett, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0%

Bennett, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bennett, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0%

Bennett, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bennett, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 55.0%

Bennett, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bennett, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Bennett, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bennett, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Bennett, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bennett, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.4%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0%

Bennett, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.1%

Bid 23.2% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 18.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.3%

Bid 13.1% · Ask 17.5%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.9%

Bid 10.5% · Ask 13.3%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 9.6%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.5%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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