Market comparison

NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pou, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.8% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.6% Pou, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.5% Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0% Pou, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 73.0% Pou, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Pou, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Pou, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Pou, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0% Pou, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 4.2% · Ask 16.0% Pou, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pou, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Pou, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pou, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.8%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.6%

Pou, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0%

Pou, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 73.0%

Pou, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Pou, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Pou, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Pou, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0%

Pou, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.1%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 16.0%

Pou, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pou, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Pou, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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