The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

North Carolina Supreme Court winner?

2 venues · 3 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 2, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Anita Earls (D)

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 81.0%

Anita Earls (D)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 90.4%

Anita Earls

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Sarah Stevens (R)

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Sarah Stevens (R)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 17.0%

Sarah Stevens

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

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Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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