Market comparison

North Carolina's 10th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for North Carolina's 10th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.1% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Harrigan, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.4% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.8% Harrigan, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Harrigan, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 71.0% Harrigan, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Harrigan, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0% Harrigan, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% Harrigan, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0% Harrigan, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.4% Bid 8.8% · Ask 20.0% Harrigan, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harrigan, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 1.4% · Ask 13.0% Harrigan, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.6% Bid 30.5% · Ask 34.7% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.8% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 5.8% · Ask 7.8% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.1%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Harrigan, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.4%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.8%

Harrigan, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Harrigan, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 71.0%

Harrigan, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Harrigan, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

Harrigan, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Harrigan, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0%

Harrigan, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.4%

Bid 8.8% · Ask 20.0%

Harrigan, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harrigan, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 13.0%

Harrigan, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.6%

Bid 30.5% · Ask 34.7%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.8%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 7.8%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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