Market comparison

North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Buckhout, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.1% · Ask 18.0% Buckhout, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Buckhout, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 11.0% Buckhout, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Buckhout, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0% Buckhout, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Buckhout, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.3% Buckhout, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Buckhout, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.9% Buckhout, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Davis, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0% Davis, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Davis, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 65.0% Davis, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Davis, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 50.0% Davis, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Davis, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0% Davis, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Davis, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Davis, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 4.7% · Ask 7.7% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.5% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.7% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.7% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.7% Bid 10.1% · Ask 17.3% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Buckhout, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 18.0%

Buckhout, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Buckhout, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 11.0%

Buckhout, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Buckhout, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0%

Buckhout, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Buckhout, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.3%

Buckhout, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Buckhout, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.9%

Buckhout, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Davis, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0%

Davis, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Davis, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 65.0%

Davis, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Davis, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 50.0%

Davis, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Davis, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0%

Davis, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Davis, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Davis, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 7.7%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.5%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.7%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 17.3%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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